Widely used in Russia, the typical methodology of “high-speed foresight” has a number of shortcomings and limitations. Based on recent discoveries of social anthropology and cognitive neuroscience, a transition to “shamanistic foresight” is possible. The new methodology can be effectively used to form a long-term vision for the future of the Siberian and Far Eastern regions of the Russian Federation.
Strategic planning practice in the RF municipal districts on the basis of foresight technology methods, including road mapping, is currently not widespread. The article presents a road map fragment of socio-economic development strategy of the Stavropolsky municipal district of the Samara region, taking into account a concept of a municipal entity as a complex four-aspect system.
The article examines the interrelation between two leadership competencies — leadership vision of the future and the ability to jointly analyze risks and opportunities. On the basis of empirical research materials the paper considers Russian leaders’ conception of leadership vision, personality and group factors of leadership vision, causes of lack of attention from Russian management teams to long-term risks and opportunities.
Foresight is a widespread practice at the national and corporate level, but there are practically no examples of applying this methodology to form a vision of a separate ethnic group future. Based on the analysis of the work of the greatest representative of the Yakut intellectuals A.E. Kulakovsky, the article carries out analysis of the Yakut ethnic group current situation and of different strategies for its development in the 21st century.
Foresight — is an active prediction, which includes elements of impact on the future by matching particular interests of different social strata of civil society.
With the growing uncertainties foresight in a certain sense provides an opportunity for more “stable game” in increasingly unstable world.