25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

#2. Sisyphean Task
25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

The article analyzes three periods of the Russian economy: the transformation crisis of 1990–1998, characterized by depth and duration, the period of regenerative economic recovery in 1999–2008, during which a shift into nationalization and monopolization of the economy took place, as well as the period of 2009–2017, called the “lost decade” by the author, the period of deep financial and socio-economic crisis as part of the global world crisis. Possible prospects for development and ways of entrance into high-quality significant socio-economic growth are described.

Unlearned Lessons of 2017 and New Expectations of a Bright Future

#2. Sisyphean Task
Unlearned Lessons of 2017 and New Expectations of a Bright Future

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategies” (CIES) for 2017 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

#1. Event Horison
25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill25 Years of New Russia. Economic and Social Level: Remaining at a Standstill

The article analyzes three periods of the Russian economy: the transformation crisis of 1990–1998, characterized by depth and duration, the period of regenerative economic recovery in 1999–2008, during which a shift into nationalization and monopolization of the economy took place, as well as the period of 2009–2017, called the “lost decade” by the author, the period of deep financial and socio-economic crisis as part of the global world crisis. Possible prospects for development and ways of entrance into high-quality significant socio-economic growth are described.

Assessment of the Sanctions Impact on the Economic Situation in the Russian Federation

#1. Event Horison
Assessment of the Sanctions Impact on the Economic Situation in the Russian FederationAssessment of the Sanctions Impact on the Economic Situation in the Russian Federation

Introduction of sanctions, contrary to the statements of Russian politicians, has an impact on the Russian economy, and the impact is quite negative. The crisis in the Russian economy is confirmed by macro-indicators. Despite this, distortion of statistical data allows to demonstrate the illusion of economic growth, although it is seen only in certain sectors of economy. Real incomes of the population have also decreased and continue to fall down. The article proposes a number of strategic measures that will allow to minimize the damage caused by the imposed sanctions and even partially to benefit from them for the Russian economy.

While Stagnation: the Threat of Another Recession Remains

#8. New Year’s Forces
While Stagnation: the Threat of Another Recession RemainsWhile Stagnation: the Threat of Another Recession RemainsWhile Stagnation: the Threat of Another Recession Remains

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for January — September 2017 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Optimism with a Feeling of Growing Concern

#6. The Charm of Unattainable Peaks
Optimism with a Feeling of Growing ConcernOptimism with a Feeling of Growing ConcernOptimism with a Feeling of Growing Concern

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for January – July 2017 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Is the Light Visible at the End of the Tunnel?

#4. Monument up to the Sky
Is the Light Visible at the End of the Tunnel?Is the Light Visible at the End of the Tunnel?Is the Light Visible at the End of the Tunnel?

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic Strategies” (CIES) for January–March 2017 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

While the Recession. What’s Next?

#2. Alliance Great
While the Recession. What’s Next?While the Recession. What’s Next?While the Recession. What’s Next?While the Recession. What’s Next?

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for 2016 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Realities and Forecasts of the Russian Economy Development

#8. Hunting for Scientists
Realities and Forecasts of the Russian Economy DevelopmentRealities and Forecasts of the Russian Economy DevelopmentRealities and Forecasts of the Russian Economy DevelopmentRealities and Forecasts of the Russian Economy DevelopmentRealities and Forecasts of the Russian Economy Development

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – September 2016 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?

#7. Hysteresis Loop
Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?Recessive Economy — Collapse or the New Reality?

The article provides an analysis of the possible stabilization of world GDP in the forecast period, including explanation by the systemic long-term falling of oil prices. Given that the world GDP is the value of all goods and services of final consumption, the GDP decline can be attributed to their cheapening. This price reduction can be caused by high rates of innovation and technological development of the world economy. The article presents argumentation that the decline in the world GDP has a longterm nature. Even recessionary development of the global economy is possible. But it is not disastrous. The world economy under the influence of innovation processes is reconstructed through information technology replenishment and through reducing production costs of goods and services for final consumption. The article shows at the model level that countries with a low GDP per capita may have even greater potential for transition to an information economy than countries with a high GDP per capita. This opens a window of opportunities for Russia to modernize the economy in accordance with the evolving trends of the global innovation process.