The Bottom of the Crisis is Still not Visible

#9. Preserving humanness
The Bottom of the Crisis is Still not VisibleThe Bottom of the Crisis is Still not VisibleThe Bottom of the Crisis is Still not VisibleThe Bottom of the Crisis is Still not VisibleThe Bottom of the Crisis is Still not VisibleThe Bottom of the Crisis is Still not VisibleThe Bottom of the Crisis is Still not Visible

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the january — october 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Negative Trends are Increasing

#8. Logic and ethic of fake
Negative Trends are IncreasingNegative Trends are IncreasingNegative Trends are IncreasingNegative Trends are IncreasingNegative Trends are IncreasingNegative Trends are IncreasingNegative Trends are Increasing

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January – August 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Deepening Recession

#7. Maint Games
The Deepening RecessionThe Deepening RecessionThe Deepening RecessionThe Deepening RecessionThe Deepening RecessionThe Deepening RecessionThe Deepening Recession

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January — July 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

The Economy Remains Without Drivers

#5-6. Five Scenarios for a Century
The Economy Remains Without DriversThe Economy Remains Without DriversThe Economy Remains Without DriversThe Economy Remains Without DriversThe Economy Remains Without DriversThe Economy Remains Without DriversThe Economy Remains Without Drivers

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic Strategy” (CIES) for the January — June 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

On the Downward Trend

#4. The Square of Transformation
On the Downward TrendOn the Downward TrendOn the Downward TrendOn the Downward TrendOn the Downward TrendOn the Downward TrendOn the Downward TrendOn the Downward Trend

Changing of a conjuncture index of “Economic strategy” (CIES) for the January — March 2015 is considered. The contribution of indicators of supply and demand in CIES is estimated. The analysis of industrial production is carried out.

Lingering Decrease

#3. TARGET’S Issue
Lingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering DecreaseLingering Decrease

The paper considers changes of the “Economic Strategies” opportunistic index (OIES) in January-February 2015. The contribution of supply and demand indices into OIES is estimated. Industrial production analysis is performed.

Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008

#2. Liberal Indolence Inertia
Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008 Contours of the Future of Russian-Ukrainian Relations: a View From 2008

The article represents a short version of scenario-based forecast of development of Ukraine and the Russian-Ukrainian relations, prepared in July 2008. The forecast has not been published previously. Subsequent developments have fully confirmed the anticipated, although at the time of the forecast preparation a lot of things would seem futurological fiction on the tails of probability distributions. Assessments of the state and prospects of the Ukraine development, made in 2008, are of practical interest today.

Protracted Recession

#2. Liberal Indolence Inertia
Protracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted RecessionProtracted Recession

The paper considers changes of the “Economic Strategies” opportunistic index (OIES) in January 2015. The contribution of supply and demand indices into OIES is estimated. Industrial production analysis is performed.

Uncertainty is Growing Up

#1. Change of Leader
Uncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing UpUncertainty is Growing Up

The paper considers changes of the “Economic Strategies” opportunistic index (OIES) in January-December 2014. The contribution of supply and demand indices into OIES is estimated. Industrial production analysis is performed.